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Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

data as of 2026-07-18 18:04 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
12¢
NO
88¢
YES
12¢
YesY-NNo
Position$33−$143$176
Holders4+31
Trades5+41
NO
88¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.8%
+19.3 pp
47.5%
Avg ROI7.1%
−2.1 pp
9.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.92
−0.08×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24
−$152
$176
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL9.1%
+9.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %40.7%
+40.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %17.3%
+17.3 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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