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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 17?

data as of 2026-07-15 04:17 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 17, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$18$18
Holders2−13
Trades404
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+8.2 pp
45.4%
Avg ROI80.8%
+82.2 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−0.19×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−0.19×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$8
$8
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL23.8%
+23.8 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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