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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-25 14:15 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.6K−$290K$297K
Holders456−30486
Trades6.3K+9655.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.3%
−43.6 pp
83.9%
Avg ROI22.1%
+21.9 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.08
+6.08×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.75
+6.75×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$7
+$6.4K
−$6.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.49
+0.39
0.09
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.9%
−89.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %99.7%
+30.8 pp
68.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.3%
+6.4 pp
13.9%
Bot %19.7%
+5.9 pp
13.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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