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Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-01-16 04:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.1K+$4.7K$4.4K
Holders155+27128
Trades1.6K−41.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+7.0 pp
46.7%
Avg ROI2.5%
−3.5 pp
6.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−14.17×
×14.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.49
−13.18×
×13.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.6K
+$1.0K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.12
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL95.2%
+187.8 pp
-92.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.8 pp
95.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.6%
−1.4 pp
68.0%
Bot %66.5%
−1.1 pp
67.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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