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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

data as of 2025-12-21 08:26 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$12K$15K
Holders184−33217
Trades2.5K+1072.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.8%
+6.2 pp
47.6%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−5.6 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−38.13×
×38.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−35.39×
×36.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.9K
+$4.1K
$2.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.69
−0.20
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL51.5%
+148.6 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %2.7%
−96.8 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.4%
+20.4 pp
51.0%
Bot %72.0%
+19.6 pp
52.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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