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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-16 00:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K−$9.0K$12K
Holders172+64108
Trades1.1K−1311.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−5.5 pp
51.8%
Avg ROI6.2%
+7.2 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.00
+16.24×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.40
+15.66×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$189
−$3.3K
$3.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.00
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.0%
−130.2 pp
36.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.4 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.2%
−1.3 pp
62.5%
Bot %71.2%
+1.2 pp
70.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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