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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

data as of 2026-07-07 06:09 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 14, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
52¢
NO
47¢
YES
52¢
YesY-NNo
Position$76−$614$689
Holders1−34
Trades1−78
NO
47¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
+3.7 pp
47.0%
Avg ROI4.2%
+5.7 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.02×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.02×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$76
+$76
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+1.9 pp
-1.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−64.9 pp
64.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−35.1 pp
35.1%
Bot %0.0%
−35.1 pp
35.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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