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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 08:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$17K$4.8K
Holders274−128402
Trades2.0K−8222.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.4%
+21.8 pp
36.7%
Avg ROI0.6%
−1.6 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−18.65×
×19.38
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−17.85×
×18.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.1K
+$7.8K
$4.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.2%
+128.8 pp
-94.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.4%
+11.0 pp
64.4%
Bot %73.5%
+10.2 pp
63.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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