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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 12:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$9.7K$2.1K
Holders79−60139
Trades817−1881.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.0%
+15.2 pp
42.9%
Avg ROI-6.6%
−5.8 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−2.96×
×3.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−6.01×
×6.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
+$2.4K
$506
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.27
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL38.1%
+125.1 pp
-87.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.2 pp
94.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.3%
−8.7 pp
83.0%
Bot %74.5%
−13.3 pp
87.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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