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Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

data as of 2026-06-19 08:28 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$81−$2.3K$2.3K
Holders33+1122
Trades161+8279
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate78.7%
−8.4 pp
87.2%
Avg ROI6.7%
+6.7 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.03
−0.20×
×1.23
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.55
+0.32×
×1.23
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24
−$785
$809
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.19
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-38.0%
−19.6 pp
-18.5%
Underwater %62.5%
−34.0 pp
96.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.1%
+16.8 pp
16.3%
Bot %33.4%
+17.4 pp
16.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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