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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 12:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$16K$5.4K
Holders58−53111
Trades949−8211.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
+0.1 pp
48.6%
Avg ROI6.3%
+4.4 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−13.07×
×13.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−14.18×
×14.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$644
−$715
$71
Recent buyer dominance0.14
−0.83
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL57.3%
+150.5 pp
-93.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.2 pp
96.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.8%
+24.4 pp
42.4%
Bot %67.4%
+25.2 pp
42.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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