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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

data as of 2026-02-28 19:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$50K$60K
Holders445−20465
Trades5.1K−3475.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.2%
−18.1 pp
60.3%
Avg ROI151.0%
+150.1 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.50
+9.69×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.21
+9.41×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.6K
−$34.0K
$43.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.2%
−113.8 pp
23.6%
Underwater %97.6%
+97.4 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.9%
+2.1 pp
84.8%
Bot %82.9%
−1.3 pp
84.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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