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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 17:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$5.5K$5.6K
Holders192−70262
Trades1.4K−6032.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.7%
+3.0 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI1.8%
−0.5 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−4.72×
×5.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−4.68×
×5.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.0K
+$4.6K
$5.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL27.4%
+110.4 pp
-83.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.0%
+11.2 pp
43.8%
Bot %71.5%
+15.6 pp
55.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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