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Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

data as of 2025-12-08 04:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$112K−$328K$440K
Holders1.9K+1.2K701
Trades22K+9.2K13K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
−12.2 pp
59.7%
Avg ROI1.8%
−3.5 pp
5.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.29
+3.37×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.42
+3.51×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$28
−$891
$919
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.19
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.8%
−86.8 pp
9.0%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.6 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.1%
−64.5 pp
69.6%
Bot %4.8%
−65.1 pp
69.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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