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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-31 17:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$26K$38K
Holders293+17276
Trades2.6K+2822.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.9%
−10.2 pp
56.1%
Avg ROI0.6%
+0.1 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×34.95
+34.25×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.78
+32.07×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.5K
−$12.4K
$14.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.08
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−137.5 pp
40.7%
Underwater %96.4%
+96.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.5%
+13.1 pp
65.3%
Bot %80.0%
+16.7 pp
63.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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