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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

data as of 2026-05-14 16:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$38K$50K
Holders422−22444
Trades5.0K−2095.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.1%
−2.2 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.0 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.53
+1.74×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.19
+1.43×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.4K
−$19.6K
$30.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.02
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-59.4%
−87.2 pp
27.8%
Underwater %90.7%
+82.3 pp
8.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.8%
−0.6 pp
58.5%
Bot %68.0%
+1.6 pp
66.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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