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Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?

data as of 2026-03-24 13:38 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
91¢
NO
8¢
YES
91¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13K+$11K$1.3K
Holders49−2877
Trades888+445443
NO
8¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.4%
−1.0 pp
60.4%
Avg ROI2.0%
−1.6 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.07×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.01×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$48
−$44
−$4
Recent buyer dominance0.49
+0.49
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.2%
−0.4 pp
0.6%
Underwater %8.4%
−31.8 pp
40.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.0%
−32.3 pp
42.4%
Bot %10.0%
−32.3 pp
42.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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