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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 30?

data as of 2026-03-30 00:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$55−$18K$18K
Holders32−638
Trades182+69113
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate17.1%
−77.7 pp
94.8%
Avg ROI200.5%
+201.2 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.90
+3.91×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$7.6K
$7.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.00
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.3%
−80.6 pp
0.3%
Underwater %23.0%
+23.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.4%
+66.9 pp
0.5%
Bot %68.4%
+68.0 pp
0.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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