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Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 4?

data as of 2026-05-04 03:11 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.6K+$1.6K$54
Holders33−235
Trades128−4132
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate78.2%
+40.2 pp
38.0%
Avg ROI2.9%
−25.7 pp
28.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.99
−0.61×
×1.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.97
−2.49×
×3.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$200
+$199
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.73
−0.27
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL2.7%
+81.4 pp
-78.7%
Underwater %25.4%
−67.7 pp
93.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.9%
−9.9 pp
12.7%
Bot %2.9%
−30.2 pp
33.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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