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Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 38°C or higher on April 13?

data as of 2026-04-13 12:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$16−$1.4K$1.5K
Holders36+234
Trades158+35123
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.2%
−52.8 pp
93.0%
Avg ROI15.7%
+15.8 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.20
−0.83×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.24
−0.79×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$64
$66
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.14
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL276.3%
+278.7 pp
-2.4%
Underwater %1.4%
−98.4 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.8%
+39.8 pp
2.0%
Bot %41.8%
+39.8 pp
2.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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