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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 21?

data as of 2026-05-21 01:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$110−$2.5K$2.6K
Holders45−146
Trades209+43166
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.7%
−45.3 pp
75.1%
Avg ROI8.1%
+6.3 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.17
+5.22×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.97
+5.00×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$76
$77
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.43
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.1%
−86.8 pp
3.7%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.5%
+13.6 pp
2.9%
Bot %25.1%
+22.2 pp
2.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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