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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2025-11-16 17:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.6K−$5.9K$8.5K
Holders92+1181
Trades573−28601
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.4%
−18.6 pp
56.0%
Avg ROI-1.1%
+2.1 pp
-3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.77
+23.05×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.22
+20.49×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$258
−$1.7K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.08
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−135.4 pp
39.8%
Underwater %95.3%
+95.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.5%
−40.1 pp
79.6%
Bot %39.5%
−40.2 pp
79.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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