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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 12:17 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.3K−$17K$22K
Holders322+50272
Trades1.9K+3111.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.5%
−3.7 pp
52.2%
Avg ROI1.0%
−0.5 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.50
+7.64×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.97
+9.11×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.4K
−$17.2K
$21.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.3%
−109.8 pp
18.5%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.7%
−1.9 pp
43.7%
Bot %40.7%
−10.3 pp
51.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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