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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4PM ET

data as of 2025-12-27 21:48 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.5K+$5.9K$2.6K
Holders45−2267
Trades1.6K+954691
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.5%
+36.9 pp
25.6%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−1.6 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−21.17×
×21.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−18.87×
×19.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$593
−$660
$67
Recent buyer dominance0.47
−0.53
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.0%
+115.8 pp
-94.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.4 pp
97.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %87.9%
+27.1 pp
60.8%
Bot %90.9%
+34.4 pp
56.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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