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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 16:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$16K$11K
Holders311−12323
Trades2.1K−3302.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
+1.6 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI1.6%
+0.6 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−5.39×
×6.12
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−5.25×
×5.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.5K
+$12.9K
$10.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.3%
+128.1 pp
-83.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.8%
+1.6 pp
42.1%
Bot %63.7%
−6.0 pp
69.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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