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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-06-17 00:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$16K$4.8K
Holders235−44279
Trades2.2K−572.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.4%
+8.6 pp
46.8%
Avg ROI3.6%
+2.5 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−20.94×
×21.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−18.34×
×19.15
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.6K
+$12.9K
$4.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL26.7%
+121.5 pp
-94.8%
Underwater %1.0%
−89.4 pp
90.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.3%
+4.8 pp
51.5%
Bot %64.5%
+11.3 pp
53.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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