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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8AM ET

data as of 2026-03-25 13:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$45K−$16K$61K
Holders195−67262
Trades3.7K+2073.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.9%
−20.0 pp
75.9%
Avg ROI2.2%
+2.7 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.40
−539.44×
×539.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.40
−612.04×
×612.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.7K
−$14.1K
$25.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.73
−0.24
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL172.4%
+272.2 pp
-99.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.2%
+17.1 pp
63.1%
Bot %80.1%
+17.2 pp
62.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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