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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $121K and $122K on August 12 at 5PM ET?

data as of 2025-08-12 20:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.3K−$14K$15K
Holders34034
Trades164+33131
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.5%
−30.7 pp
68.2%
Avg ROI-8.2%
−12.5 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.02
+22.07×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.02
+27.09×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$161
$166
Recent buyer dominance0.73
+0.19
0.54
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−103.1 pp
6.7%
Underwater %96.6%
+96.2 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.3%
−7.7 pp
42.9%
Bot %34.3%
−8.7 pp
42.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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