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Tether insolvent in 2025?

data as of 2025-12-28 03:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.4K−$31K$33K
Holders329+81248
Trades3.4K+5392.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.4%
−25.6 pp
62.0%
Avg ROI17.0%
+16.8 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.95
+16.01×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.54
+18.61×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$587
$587
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−101.9 pp
6.3%
Underwater %99.5%
+96.1 pp
3.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.9%
+23.5 pp
25.5%
Bot %50.1%
+24.7 pp
25.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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