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Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $310b and $320b on May 31?

data as of 2025-05-26 23:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$428−$6.3K$6.7K
Holders42−60102
Trades588+80508
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.0%
−16.5 pp
54.6%
Avg ROI-7.3%
−7.6 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.45
+0.49×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.44
+1.48×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$59
$60
Recent buyer dominance0.62
−0.38
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-60.7%
−65.1 pp
4.4%
Underwater %51.3%
+26.8 pp
24.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.9%
−30.3 pp
73.2%
Bot %42.9%
−30.3 pp
73.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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