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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 06:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$20K$32K
Holders212−23235
Trades4.6K+6953.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.9%
−13.3 pp
59.3%
Avg ROI1.5%
+1.3 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.95
+33.30×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.77
+32.13×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
−$4.4K
$5.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.05
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−148.9 pp
52.0%
Underwater %97.3%
+97.1 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.8%
−3.8 pp
83.6%
Bot %79.7%
−3.9 pp
83.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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