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100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

data as of 2026-02-21 20:32 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
7¢
NO
93¢
YES
7¢
YesY-NNo
Position$230−$7.6K$7.9K
Holders59+653
Trades665+269396
NO
93¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.9%
−38.8 pp
67.7%
Avg ROI0.1%
−9.5 pp
9.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.14
+0.16×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.13
+0.15×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$118
+$1.1K
−$986
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-15.6%
−18.6 pp
3.0%
Underwater %64.1%
+64.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.2%
+23.2 pp
17.0%
Bot %40.2%
+23.2 pp
17.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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