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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

data as of 2026-05-25 19:03 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.1K−$35K$40K
Holders4120412
Trades3.4K+1163.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
−11.0 pp
62.5%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.0 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.73
+13.89×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.68
+10.84×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.2K
−$26.1K
$29.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.06
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.1%
−112.0 pp
18.8%
Underwater %95.3%
+95.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.2%
−1.7 pp
41.9%
Bot %54.3%
−4.6 pp
59.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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