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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 27?

data as of 2026-05-26 21:50 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$187−$5.6K$5.8K
Holders63−2891
Trades329−1330
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.2%
−49.3 pp
88.5%
Avg ROI3.2%
−0.9 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.94
+2.98×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.08
+4.12×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$229
$233
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.3%
−84.5 pp
4.2%
Underwater %95.3%
+95.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.7%
+14.0 pp
3.7%
Bot %18.0%
+13.7 pp
4.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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