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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 16:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$25K+$8.6K$17K
Holders400+140260
Trades2.8K+5082.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−0.7 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI2.8%
+1.5 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.67
+18.13×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.11
+17.56×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.7K
+$10.6K
$14.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.12
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.3%
−176.8 pp
82.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.7%
−1.8 pp
33.6%
Bot %65.0%
−1.8 pp
66.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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