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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8PM ET

data as of 2026-03-21 00:54 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K+$24K$5.2K
Holders139−11150
Trades1.9K+551.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.1%
+7.0 pp
48.1%
Avg ROI-1.5%
−2.3 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−18.48×
×19.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−19.60×
×20.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.7K
+$3.6K
$142
Recent buyer dominance0.85
+0.01
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL26.8%
+122.3 pp
-95.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.6 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.4%
−7.2 pp
69.6%
Bot %66.9%
−2.8 pp
69.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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