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Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 29?

data as of 2026-04-29 08:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$408−$3.2K$3.6K
Holders76+472
Trades617+181436
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.9%
−40.9 pp
75.8%
Avg ROI11.0%
+15.7 pp
-4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.27
+2.34×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.69
+2.78×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
−$17
$17
Recent buyer dominance0.49
−0.05
0.54
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-74.7%
−85.6 pp
10.9%
Underwater %88.9%
+80.4 pp
8.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.4%
−5.4 pp
27.9%
Bot %35.1%
+7.2 pp
27.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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