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S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?

data as of 2026-04-20 13:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.5K−$41K$45K
Holders74−579
Trades681+253428
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
−9.4 pp
61.5%
Avg ROI11.0%
+8.0 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.68
+2.73×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.18
+2.23×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$4
−$3.9K
$3.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.22
−0.78
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-69.7%
−76.6 pp
6.9%
Underwater %90.8%
+71.8 pp
18.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.8%
+1.7 pp
1.1%
Bot %2.8%
+2.2 pp
0.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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