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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2025-11-04 12:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.3K−$2.0K$3.3K
Holders11−314
Trades145−82227
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.4%
−7.8 pp
55.1%
Avg ROI18.6%
+10.6 pp
8.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.08
+0.10×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
+0.15×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$193
+$172
$21
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.35
0.65
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.3%
−17.3 pp
15.0%
Underwater %81.2%
+65.0 pp
16.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.5%
+50.2 pp
33.3%
Bot %82.3%
+49.7 pp
32.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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