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Will Starmer say "United States" during the next PMQ?

data as of 2026-06-16 03:32 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 17, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
19¢
NO
82¢
YES
19¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5+$5$0
Holders3+30
Trades3+21
NO
82¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.2%
+35.2 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI48.6%
+48.6 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.05
+1.05×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.03
+1.03×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$22
−$22
Recent buyer dominance0.00
+0.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.9%
−2.9 pp
0.0%
Underwater %56.5%
+56.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.5%
+43.5 pp
0.0%
Bot %43.5%
+43.5 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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