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Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?

data as of 2026-02-28 09:44 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13K+$6.7K$6.7K
Holders135+3897
Trades1.1K+76981
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.3%
+16.6 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI5.6%
−12.4 pp
18.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−60.52×
×61.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−52.31×
×53.05
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
+$1.1K
$11
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.12
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.2%
+145.4 pp
-98.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.0%
−61.1 pp
72.1%
Bot %11.0%
−61.2 pp
72.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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