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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

data as of 2026-02-17 21:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$27K$39K
Holders463+100363
Trades3.9K−1904.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.5%
−19.4 pp
53.8%
Avg ROI20.0%
+27.4 pp
-7.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.55
+17.90×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.06
+16.40×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.0K
−$8.2K
$19.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.08
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−147.5 pp
53.6%
Underwater %97.0%
+97.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.1%
−8.1 pp
76.2%
Bot %66.7%
−8.8 pp
75.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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