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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-12 15:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$8.7K$6.7K
Holders157−28185
Trades2.5K+802.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
+5.1 pp
49.3%
Avg ROI0.7%
+1.4 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−10.32×
×11.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−9.91×
×10.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.8K
+$3.9K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.17
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL46.6%
+137.4 pp
-90.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.5%
−4.1 pp
81.6%
Bot %75.4%
−3.8 pp
79.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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