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Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?

data as of 2026-02-28 06:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.2K−$160K$163K
Holders103−606709
Trades9.6K+2.3K7.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.2%
−8.6 pp
64.8%
Avg ROI16.7%
+15.5 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.21
+2.22×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.46
+2.47×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27
−$3.0K
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.15
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-71.0%
−72.1 pp
1.1%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.1%
−95.9 pp
97.9%
Bot %2.1%
−95.9 pp
97.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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