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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 02:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.8K−$7.6K$14K
Holders329+39290
Trades2.3K+1782.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−1.5 pp
51.5%
Avg ROI2.3%
+1.4 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.97
+10.30×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.06
+10.37×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.3K
−$4.5K
$10.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.07
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.5%
−140.8 pp
50.3%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.0%
−1.5 pp
40.4%
Bot %60.0%
−4.2 pp
64.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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