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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 06:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$914$15K
Holders455+157298
Trades3.0K+6452.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
−2.3 pp
50.8%
Avg ROI1.4%
−0.1 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×41.60
+41.09×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×39.70
+39.19×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.0K
−$2.9K
$13.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−184.9 pp
87.6%
Underwater %96.3%
+96.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.6%
−1.5 pp
36.2%
Bot %51.9%
−7.9 pp
59.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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