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Will Erik Bottcher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

data as of 2026-06-14 06:39 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 23, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$26−$2.9K$3.0K
Holders35−843
Trades403+244159
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.7%
−47.9 pp
84.7%
Avg ROI80.7%
+80.5 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.09
+1.09×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.78
+6.78×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$356
$356
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.3%
−88.0 pp
0.7%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.2%
−23.9 pp
62.1%
Bot %39.4%
−28.9 pp
68.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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