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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-01-22 00:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K+$28K$9.9K
Holders237−98335
Trades3.9K−884.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.4%
+23.8 pp
30.5%
Avg ROI-1.4%
−26.0 pp
24.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−19.93×
×20.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−25.31×
×26.11
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.8K
+$6.0K
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.09
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL28.5%
+123.8 pp
-95.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−87.6 pp
87.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.4%
+16.3 pp
58.2%
Bot %74.4%
+17.8 pp
56.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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