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Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

data as of 2026-03-29 00:23 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.4K−$151K$154K
Holders195−24219
Trades9.0K+3.2K5.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.8%
−42.0 pp
68.8%
Avg ROI-19.1%
−33.1 pp
13.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.18
+9.18×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.02
+7.02×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$4
+$1.0K
−$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.35
+0.26
0.09
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.3%
−88.6 pp
0.3%
Underwater %99.1%
+47.5 pp
51.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.0%
−67.6 pp
71.6%
Bot %4.0%
−67.6 pp
71.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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