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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 24?

data as of 2026-04-22 05:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$12−$1.6K$1.6K
Holders17−1330
Trades95+887
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−34.0 pp
80.6%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−0.7 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.73
+1.75×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.38
+1.40×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$65
$67
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-58.0%
−59.6 pp
1.6%
Underwater %91.0%
+91.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.8%
+61.8 pp
0.0%
Bot %61.8%
+61.8 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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